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29 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.8%
Wrexham
25.0%
Draw
21.1%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Wrexham

vs
1.05

Preston

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).