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17 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.8%
Bromley
29.1%
Draw
30.1%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Bromley

vs
0.92

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS40.1%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).