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DHT: 11CSV

10 May 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.3%
Red Star
25.6%
Draw
45.1%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Red Star

vs
1.33

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.0%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).