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28 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Chesterfield
23.3%
Draw
40.6%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Chesterfield

vs
1.55

Bromley

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
0-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).