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DHT: 10CSV

28 Aug 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.5%
Annecy
24.8%
Draw
38.7%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Annecy

vs
1.28

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).