Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Tottenham
25.7%
Draw
46.4%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Tottenham
vs
1.82
Brentford
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).