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11 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.6%
Piast Gliwice
29.0%
Draw
29.4%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Piast Gliwice

vs
1.12

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).