Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.9%
Lens
8.5%
Draw
4.6%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.45
Lens
vs
0.75
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.578.8%
Over 3.560.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.3%
2-0
9.0%
4-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-0
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
3.8%
3-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).