Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Berkhamsted Town
24.7%
Draw
37.5%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Berkhamsted Town
vs
1.38
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).