Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Toulouse
24.2%
Draw
49.2%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Toulouse
vs
1.54
Lens
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).