Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Genoa
28.9%
Draw
19.7%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Genoa
vs
0.82
Palermo
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).