Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Pisa
28.4%
Draw
17.4%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Pisa
vs
0.75
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).