Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Cambridge
24.0%
Draw
18.4%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Cambridge
vs
0.77
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).