Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Aldershot
17.0%
Draw
15.8%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Aldershot
vs
1.39
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS71.3%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.579.5%
Over 3.561.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.5%
3-2
5.4%
1-2
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
4-2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).