Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Tottenham
25.3%
Draw
26.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Tottenham
vs
1.37
Burnley
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).