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23 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Bordeaux
23.5%
Draw
46.1%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Bordeaux

vs
1.52

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).