Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Lyon
21.6%
Draw
22.5%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Lyon
vs
1.07
Brest
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).