Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Lecce
31.7%
Draw
34.0%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Lecce
vs
0.93
Spal
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.555.5%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.512.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.1%
0-3
2.1%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).