Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.3%
Lens
11.1%
Draw
5.6%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Lens
vs
0.59
Nimes
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
3-0
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
4-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
5.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.8%
0-0
3.1%
5-1
2.8%
0-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).