Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
QPR
27.6%
Draw
32.0%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
QPR
vs
1.25
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).