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26 Aug 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.7%
Venezia
12.9%
Draw
4.4%
Cosenza

Expected Goals (xG)

2.73

Venezia

vs
0.53

Cosenza

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.3%
3-0
13.0%
1-0
9.9%
4-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.1%
5-0
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).