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HHT: 20

30 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.9%
Stockport
38.1%
Draw
37.0%
Brackley Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

Stockport

vs
0.78

Brackley Town

Markets

BTTS23.3%
Over 0.574.5%
Over 1.538.8%
Over 2.515.5%
Over 3.54.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
25.5%
0-1
20.4%
1-0
15.3%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
0-3
2.0%
2-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
3-0
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).