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26 Oct 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.6%
Górnik Zabrze
29.1%
Draw
36.3%
Jagiellonia Białystok

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Górnik Zabrze

vs
1.28

Jagiellonia Białystok

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).