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AHT: 03CSV

23 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.7%
Grimsby
23.6%
Draw
52.7%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Grimsby

vs
1.65

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).