Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Luton
22.2%
Draw
21.7%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Luton
vs
0.93
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).