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21 Apr 2025 · 10:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.6%
Puszcza Niepołomice
23.5%
Draw
50.9%
Radomiak Radom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Puszcza Niepołomice

vs
1.97

Radomiak Radom

Markets

BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
2-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).