Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Bristol City
22.3%
Draw
11.4%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Bristol City
vs
0.68
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).