Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Middlesbrough
26.7%
Draw
15.3%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Middlesbrough
vs
0.70
Oxford
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).