Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Birmingham
25.6%
Draw
49.9%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Birmingham
vs
1.73
Coventry
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).