Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Granada
18.4%
Draw
67.4%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Granada
vs
2.38
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-1
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
0-3
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.5%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).