Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Swansea
24.8%
Draw
60.6%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Swansea
vs
1.75
Leeds
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).