Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Torino
23.3%
Draw
26.4%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Torino
vs
1.19
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).