Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Fulham
30.5%
Draw
25.3%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Fulham
vs
1.01
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).