Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Mirandes
25.8%
Draw
44.0%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Mirandes
vs
1.45
Malaga
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).