Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Ath Bilbao
29.5%
Draw
42.0%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.25
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).