Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Alessandria
27.1%
Draw
52.8%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Alessandria
vs
1.62
Parma
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).