Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
Toulouse
13.3%
Draw
8.7%
Chambly
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Toulouse
vs
0.72
Chambly
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
3-0
10.5%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-1
3.2%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).