Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Peterboro
21.3%
Draw
21.2%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Peterboro
vs
0.97
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).