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DHT: 11CSV

26 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Morton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.9%
Raith Rvs
31.9%
Draw
23.2%
Morton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Raith Rvs

vs
0.91

Morton

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).