Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Crystal Palace
22.2%
Draw
17.1%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Crystal Palace
vs
1.12
Luton
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).