Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Bristol Rvs
24.9%
Draw
35.4%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.29
Newport County
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).