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17 Jan 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.3%
Espanol
14.0%
Draw
7.7%
Valladolid

Expected Goals (xG)

2.70

Espanol

vs
0.75

Valladolid

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
3.8%
0-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).