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AHT: 12CSV

17 Apr 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.7%
Goztep
34.6%
Draw
46.7%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Goztep

vs
1.34

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.7%
0-0
15.2%
0-1
12.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).