Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.3%
Crystal Palace
17.4%
Draw
8.3%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Crystal Palace
vs
0.77
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
3.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).