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HHT: 00CSV

12 Jan 2019

Ayr

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.5%
Inverness C
31.3%
Draw
30.2%
Ayr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Inverness C

vs
1.14

Ayr

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).