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21 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Reggiana
35.2%
Draw
29.4%
Salernitana

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Reggiana

vs
0.86

Salernitana

Markets

BTTS36.9%
Over 0.582.5%
Over 1.555.7%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
17.5%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).