Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
York
11.6%
Draw
5.6%
Wealdstone
Expected Goals (xG)
3.13
York
vs
0.77
Wealdstone
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
4-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
5.0%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).