Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.7%
Hednesford Town
17.6%
Draw
13.7%
Gainsborough Trinity
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Hednesford Town
vs
0.91
Gainsborough Trinity
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
1-1
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).