Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.1%
Castellon
13.9%
Draw
8.9%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Castellon
vs
0.83
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
4-0
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.6%
3-2
3.3%
5-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).