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AHT: 02CSV

25 Oct 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.4%
Maidstone
19.2%
Draw
71.3%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Maidstone

vs
2.19

Southend

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.6%
0-1
11.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).